Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 9.518242 11.221928 13.093399 15.295104 17.807439 20.577718 23.856204
2025-03-23 6.815042 9.147848 11.995288 15.692622 20.328758 25.909225 33.089362
2025-03-30 5.370845 8.000641 11.488822 16.373857 22.944926 31.373850 42.881128
2025-04-06 4.089094 6.692465 10.410668 15.971419 23.911338 34.649912 50.038377
2025-04-13 3.074774 5.502363 9.217688 15.118452 24.007227 36.603576 55.430188
2025-04-20 2.698653 5.194516 9.233157 15.959913 26.523953 42.039847 65.981130
2025-04-27 2.440777 5.018845 9.403865 17.020443 29.423217 48.208858 77.992490
2025-05-04 2.108940 4.639666 9.167013 17.366850 31.204440 52.800951 87.949695
2025-05-11 1.777032 4.187512 8.724169 17.288695 32.255192 56.301252 96.432867
2025-05-18 1.474117 3.724901 8.182423 16.950170 32.803874 59.000794 103.789734
2025-05-25 1.227890 3.324845 7.690009 16.623007 33.309905 61.624403 111.140116
2025-06-01 1.015580 2.949979 7.183272 16.192709 33.566799 63.814409 117.872675
2025-06-08 0.767490 2.438680 6.333925 15.037207 32.488589 63.832158 121.332619
2025-06-15 0.681181 2.317659 6.317030 15.580739 34.693490 69.804322 135.437421
2025-06-22 0.615881 2.236042 6.375427 16.288901 37.284701 76.655111 151.512172
2025-06-29 0.500589 1.974243 5.955680 15.894244 37.630808 79.422607 160.534594
2025-07-06 0.386837 1.674752 5.376840 15.045953 36.939612 80.174013 165.937084
2025-07-13 0.359459 1.651446 5.512619 15.884194 39.873603 88.023884 184.807991
2025-07-20 0.341785 1.657229 5.728375 16.940469 43.366214 97.170352 206.575272
2025-07-27 0.302232 1.568374 5.661234 17.285489 45.320064 103.400970 223.165324
2025-08-03 0.256251 1.436168 5.440613 17.207651 46.311208 107.759275 236.401194
2025-08-10 0.211328 1.288127 5.138858 16.870491 46.665663 110.829259 247.285312
2025-08-17 0.174177 1.156384 4.857777 16.544651 47.006586 113.878534 258.274074